16→sub16 — Road to Sub-16 5K

Select up to 2 models to compare — clicking a third swaps out the oldest selection.

Predicted Finish Time — Distribution by Model

Gaussian centered on each model's Apr 19 prediction, σ = shared forecast uncertainty (~75 s). Darker shading = P(sub-16:00). Vertical line = mean prediction. Models sorted optimistic → pessimistic.